New Report Says Hundreds of Millions Could See Their Coastal Communities & Homes Disappear by 2050
With an Introductory Commentary by Doug Draper, reporter and publisher, Niagara At Large
Posted October 31st, 2019 on Niagara At Large
If you are one of the many Canadians who enjoy spending your winters in Florida, you better enjoy it while you can because by the middle of this century and beyond, much of the current coastal areas in that could be gone.
Virtually all due to melting ice caps and rising seas linked to climate change.
In one of several past reports on what scientists are forecasting for the world’s coastal areas in the decades ahead if we fail to more seriously address the climate emergency we are facing now, this journalist read that by the middle of this century, Donald Trump’s coveted Miami, Florida area golf resort, Mar-a-Lago, could be under water for most of the year if current climate warming and ice melting trends continue.
That may seem like poetic justice given that Trump is arguably the worst of all leaders in the developed world for gutting environmental programs, encouraging more burning of oil and coal, and calling climate change a hoax every chance he can get.
But Trump, who is now in his 70s, probably won’t be around to see Mara-Lago disappear anyway below the surf anyway which may be one of the reasons why he and a disproportionate number of other people his age would rather have cheap gas than deal with climate change anyway.
There will be millions of other people, living in coastal communities in Canada, the United States and other parts of the world, including possibly our children and grandchildren, who will be here though, and could face huge suffering if we don’t get going now to address the existential threat that climate changes poses to our planet.
That, along with the higher frequency of damaging and destructive floods, droughts, wind storms and wildfires that many regions of our province, country and the world are already experiencing, should be enough to push the ignorant and dangerous nonsense coming out of the likes of Trump and Doug Ford aside, and move full-out with action on this issue.
In case you missed it when it was released this October 29th, I am posting immediately below a news release, along with a link for the full report, on the latest report on the potential destructive impact of rising seas and climate change by an independent research organization called Climate Central.
As a journalist who has spent much of my adult life, going back to the Love Canal toxic waste disaster in our region of the Great Lakes, reporting on environmental issues, and as a father of a millennial-age daughter who will be around in the last half of this century, I am going to keep pounding on climate change on Niagara At Large until we get real action.
I hope you don’t mind, but if you do, there are too many other online sites around that you can visit instead – sites that will let you off the hook, if that’s what you want, and tell you that climate change is a hoax or is a natural, once in every ten thousand years or so occurrence that we humans are not contributing to. In other words, just carry on in a state of denial with business as usual.
If that is the of false comfort and justification for doing little or nothing about what is one of the most serious threats life on this planet faces this century, you won’t find it here.
Now here is the news release on this latest report –
New study triples global estimates of population threatened by sea level rise
Released October 29, 2019 by the independent research team Climate Central
Climate Central research finds hundreds of millions more people than previously known live on land at risk from coastal flooding linked to climate change; largest vulnerable populations concentrated in Asia.
By 2050 sea level rise will push average annual coastal floods higher than land now home to 300 million people, according to a Climate Central study published in Nature Communications. And high tide lines could permanently rise above land occupied by some 150 million, including 30 million in China.
Without augmented or new coastal defenses, populations in these areas may face regular flooding or permanent inundation within 30 years.
These findings are based on CoastalDEM, a new digital elevation model developed by Climate Central. Researchers used machine learning methods to correct for systematic errors in the principal elevation data set used until now for international assessment of coastal flood risks, NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM).
CoastalDEM-derived estimates of the global population at risk are three times greater than values produced using SRTM elevation data.
CoastalDEM is not the most accurate source of elevation data for the U.S. Climate Central has previously published more accurate risk zone maps for U.S. coastal locations based on publicly accessible, lidar-derived elevation data.
The published study as well as a research brief from Climate Central detail findings from individual assessments of 135 countries across multiple climate scenarios and years. Climate Central also used its new elevation data to produce interactive maps, enabling neighborhood-level exploration of threatened areas around the world.
CLIMATE CENTRAL – WHO WE ARE
An independent organization of leading scientists and journalists researching and reporting the facts about our changing climate and its impact on the public.
Climate Central surveys and conducts scientific research on climate change and informs the public of key findings. Our scientists publish and our journalists report on climate science, energy, sea level rise. Read More
For more on the organization, click on – https://www.climatecentral.org/
To read a newspaper report on climate change and Trump’s , Florida property, click on – https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/sep/09/trump-florida-mar-a-lago-hurricane-irma .
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“A Politician Thinks Of The Next Election. A Leader Thinks Of The Next Generation.” – Bernie Sanders