In first eleven months as Ontario Premier, Doug Ford already enjoys less public support than the Liberal’s Kathleen Wynne did at end of her five-year tenure
“Premier Doug Ford is so unpopular he’s got to look up to see former premier Kathleen Wynne’s approval rating, a Mainstreet Research poll finds.” – from a May 24th story in The Ottawa Sun
A News Release from Mainstream Research, a national polling firm in Canada
Posted May 25th, 2019 on Niagara At Large
FORD PC SUPPORT COLLAPSES, WHILE LIBERAL VOTERS PREFER TORY AS THEIR LEADER – MAINSTREAM RESARCH
Ottawa, Ontario – The governing Progressive Conservatives have slid to third, Premier Doug Ford’s favourability ratings have now fallen below those of Kathleen Wynne’s at the end of her tenure, while Liberal voters say that John Tory is their most preferred choice to lead the Ontario Liberal Party.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest Ontario survey. The poll surveyed 996 Ontarians between May 21st to 22nd, 2019. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“More and more Ontarians are turning away from Doug Ford as his support is collapsing,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “We have never seen an imcumbent premier reach these depths in popular opinion with barely a year into his mandate.”
Premier Ford has a net favourability rating of -53.5%. By comparison, Wynne’s net favourability rating stood at -35.3% on April 30th, 2018. NDP leader Andrea Horwath’s net rating is +20.3%, interim Liberal leader John Fraser’s net rating is +7.4%, while Green Party leader Mike Schreiner has a net rating of +11.4%.
The poll also asked respondents who said that they would vote Liberal today who they would prefer as Ontario Liberal leader. Among decided Liberal voters, 65% say they want to see Toronto mayor John Tory, while 5.2% say they would prefer former cabinet minister Sandra Pupatello. Declared candidates Steven Del Duca and Michael Coteau have 3.3% and 5%, respectively. Former education minister Mitzie Hunter, widely expected to jump in the race, has 11.1%.
However, 54% of Liberals voters said that they were undecided about who the next leader should be.
Respondents were also presented with different ballot scenarios with Tory, Pupatello, Del Duca, Hunter, and Coteau as potential Ontario Liberal leaders.
- 39.1% said that they would vote Liberal if Tory were leader;
- 29.6% said they would vote Liberal if Pupatello were leader;
- 27.8% would vote Liberal if Del Duca led the Ontario Liberal Party;
- 28.1% would vote Liberal if Coteau were at the helm of the Ontario Liberals;
- 28% said they would vote Liberal if Hunter were leading the party.
“Only John Tory is outperforming the current Liberal number, indicating that he is the only potential leadership candidate that can add some value to the Ontario Liberal brand at this moment,” added Maggi.
The poll also surveyed Ontarians who they would vote for if an election were held today. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals with interim leader John Fraser at the helm have 39.9% (+13.9% since April), while the NDP have 24.2% (-2.4%). The PCs have 22.4% (-10%), while the Greens have 12% (+3%).
About Mainstream Research – Mainstreet Research is a national polling ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario.
Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 Canadian federal election.
To read a story in The Ottawa Sun about these poll results, click on – https://ottawasun.com/news/provincial/fords-popularity-plunges-mainstreet-poll/wcm/12ef76b3-071b-413a-8aee-d3491e290464 .
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