‘Doug Ford’s approval on edge of ‘political black hole’
‘Polls show that as people get to know NDP leader Marit Stiles her positive score rises’
‘Voters are getting to know Ontario Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie faster, but as they do, her negatives rise and her positive impression score remains stalled.’
News from the Angus Reid Institute, one of Canada’s best known and most reliable polling services
Posted July 10th, 2024 on Niagara At Large
A Brief Foreword from Niagara At Large reporter/publisher Doug Draper – In a recent post, I noted that polls conducted over the past several months show that if an election were held in Ontario today, Doug Ford’s Tories would win another term of government.
The brand new polling numbers from Angus Reid tell a much different story and raise hope that Ford, whose policies have attacked our democracy and rights to have a say in issues that impact our local communities, and have threatened what is left of our natural heritage, our public health care system and other needed services in so many ways could finally be voted out of power.
Now here are new polling results from Angus Reid –
Ontario Premier Doug Ford‘s tumbling approval score is now at a level below which no premier surveyed has won re-election since at least 2011, according to a historical analysis of Angus Reid Institute’s quarterly survey data.
At 31 per cent, Ford now has the lowest job approval score of any premier surveyed (across Canada), according to the latest quarterly survey, released June 26. The quarterly Premier approval survey excludes only Prince Edward Island.
The 31 per cent level appears to mark the edge of a political black hole for premiers and prime ministers. Since at least 2011, no premier or prime minister whose job approval score passed below 31 per cent has been able to escape the pull of defeat.
Doug Ford held a healthy 43 per cent job approval score in the quarterly survey immediately prior to his June 2022 re-election.
Only one premier found with support of 43 per cent or more has been defeated in the subsequent election, former Nova Scotia premier Iain Rankin. In a 2021 general election, Rankin’s Liberals scored 37 per cent support and were narrowly defeated by Tim Houston’s Conservatives, with 38 per cent.
Ford’s fall comes on June controversy and rising unemployment.
The latest Angus Reid premier approval survey finds Ford’s approval is down three points from the pollster’s March survey.
During June, Ford revealed a controversial and expensive plan to shut The Beer Store and give its sales to grocery and convenience stores, faced continued opposition to his plan to shutter the Ontario Science Centre, and began to fuel early election speculation. Unemployment also rose to 7.0 per cent, well above the national average and the number of full-time jobs declined by 7,400.
Despite Ford’s low personal score, his PC Party’s support remains high on his opponents’ troubles.
Marit Stiles, Ontario NDP leader
Polls show that as people get to know NDP leader Marit Stiles her positive score rises, but nearly half still cannot make a positive or negative assessment.
Voters are getting to know Ontario Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie faster, but as they do, her negatives rise and her positive impression score remains stalled.
About Angus Reid – The Angus Reid Institute is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to enhance and encourage better understanding of issues and trends affecting economic, social, governance, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and foreign policy in Canada and its world.
Our activities are funded through an initial endowment from the Reid family and project-based funding provided by fellow not-for-profit organizations and selected partners in Canada.
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Niagara At Large 
That is fabulous news that Doug Ford’s numbers are so low and M. Stiles NDP leader’s are on the rise. Rightfully so. Ford continues to stress out taxpayers daily by interfering with successful businesses like the LCBO, constantly lying one example the Science Center being shut down on a Friday and the list goes on. He and his conservatives have no respect for our Canadian heritage. So glad voters see this. Let us dump him is so right.
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